The fall of the regime and the tragic death of Gaddafi is estimated will give a new influence on the dynamics of popular movements in Arab countries. In general, the fall of Gaddafi's regime, at least, will raise the mental of people's movement that began to weaken in some countries, strengthen its spirit that was raging in several other countries, or it could be triggering the outbreak of a new movement in some other Arab country, again.
In the Maghreb area (North Africa), three strong regimes have fallen, starting from Zaenal Abidin Bin Ali regime in Tunisia, Hosni Mubarak in Egypt, and Muammar Gaddafi in Libya. All three leaders also suffered a similar fate. Only three remaining states, they are the Kingdom of Morocco, Algeria, and Mauritania.
Popular protests in those three countries had actually broken and ups and downs in a long time. Rapid and quite fundamental reforms to respond to the people's demands be vital for the success of one of the above three regimes to survive, at least until now.
A quite fundamental of reforms model in Morocco will probably be one of the model to be followed by other regimes in Arab kingdom. This country has learned from scratch, how Gaddafi was using the people's army and the military to confront his people's resistance, and it made the destruction of Libya in all fields, and the casualties are not spelled out. That did not make him able to survive. On the contrary, it made him despised by the world.
On the banks of the Nile region and the Horn of Africa, all regimes (except Egypt) are still able to survive, despite of the social, economic, and security of countries in the region is very apprehensive. The Sudan people's attention was taken on the separation of South Sudan, so the people protests that actually have time to rupture, has not experienced the significant escalation.
Similarly happened in Somalia. The famine caused by drought, enhanced by the armed conflict between the government fights the militant Al-Shabaab movement. Far from protesting, as in other Arab countries, each person in the country has run out of energy to simply survive. Arab countries around it, including Djibouti suffered more or less the same fate.
In the Gulf region, popular movement in Yemen experienced relative success than others. Ending of the Yemen people's struggle is not clear until now, but the development for existing developments indicates that the regime of Ali Abdullah Saleh is closer to collapse.
In Bahrain, a flared great popular movement can be mitigated by the Bahrain's "naturalization" forces and the GCC troops (led by Saudi Arabia), at least for now. Concerns about people's resistance to the regime in this area do a variety of ways to stem the possible outbreak of the movement.
Regimes in both countries will surely reconsider the options for the use of excessive military in crushing the people's movement as was done by Gaddafi. The difference between the two regimes with Gaddafi's regime in this case is only on the support of the U.S. and other Western countries.
Actually, in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman, the people's movement has broken for a long time, but it did not come to the surface, at least for the moment.
The fall of the powerful and wealthy family in Libya was obviously giving the moral support for the revival of popular movement in region. The activists in these countries insisted that the fall of Gaddafi was an important momentum for the rise of popular movements against the totalitarian regimes.
In Masyriq, the popular movement occurs in almost all countries. The biggest one is in Syria against the Asad regime. The opposition declares that Gaddafi's death is a very clear message to the regime that erodes the popular protests with military weaponry.
Kingdom of Jordan tends to choose the Marocco style by doing a quick reform, despite there's no guarantee for the success of a way to dampen the people's protest. The fall of Gaddafi certainly makes the Jordan's rulers believe to that option.
In Lebanon, Iraq, and Palestine, the people's movements are strong, but the claims made are the specific issues, not the imposition of regime. Palestinians demand the unity of warring factions. Lebanese people demand an end to the sectarian system that brought the country into divisions for decades. And the Iraqi people demand the improvements in the welfare and security guarantees.
Maybe the effect of Gaddafi's death and fall to the people's movement in the three countries is the smallest. But it certainly makes the authorities in those countries must prepare with all the possibilities that can happen.
*****
(CZ-103111)
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US, Syria withdraw their envoys as tensions rise
IRIB - Voice of Justice
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U.S. Ambassador to Syria Leaves Damascus Amid Threats to Safety
Robert S. Ford left the country after receiving "credible threats against his personal safety," embassy officials said.
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Is Syria unrest heading to civil war?
Syrian refugees living in Lebanon say that anti-government protesters trying to bring down President Bashar al-Assad are resorting increasingly to the use of force.
► http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-15508630
Syrian army 'shell Homs district'
Syrian tanks shelled a district in Homs, killing at least three people, activists say, as the UN secretary general calls for an end to repression.
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Syria 'must stop' civilian deaths
The Arab League sends an "urgent message" to the Syrian government, denouncing "the continued killings of civilians" taking part in protests.
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Prosecutors contact Gaddafi son
International prosecutors are in "informal contact" with slain Libya leader Muammar Gaddafi's son, Saif al-Islam, who is wanted for war crimes.
► http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-15503638
Gaddafi son 'says he is innocent'
Slain Libya leader Muammar Gaddafi's son, Saif al-Islam, says he is innocent of crimes against humanity, an international prosecutor says.
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Gaddafi son claims innocence, ICC prosecutor says
Former Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's son Saif al-Islam (pictured) claims he is innocent of the alleged crimes against humanity the International Criminal Court has charged him with, the ICC prosecutor said Saturday.
►http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/libya/8858409/Saadi-Gaddafi-smuggled-into-Niger-by-team-of-ex-special-forces-from-Australia-and-New-Zealand.html
Saadi Gaddafi was smuggled into Niger by a team of ex-special forces soldiers from around the world, according to a former Australian soldier who claims to be the personal bodyguard of the son of the former Libyan dictator.
► http://english.ruvr.ru/2011/10/22/59150714.html
Gaddafi's death should be investigated - Lavrov
► http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-15511006
Ceasefire hopes after Gaza deaths
There are hopes of a ceasefire between Israel and Palestinian militants in Gaza after 10 people died in rocket and airstrikes on Saturday.
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A lot to lose - Kenya's Somali gambit
As Kenyan troops continue their advance into Somalia in an effort to push the Islamist group al-Shabab away from their border, there is some confusion about the reasons for their advance.
► http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-15513430
Kenya air raid targets militants
At least nine people are killed and 50 wounded as Kenyan military jets target al-Shabab militants in southern Somalia.
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Yemen airport shut after blasts
Yemen shuts its international airport in the capital Sanaa after explosions are reported at an adjacent air force base.
► Nato set to finish Libya mission
Nato's mission over Libya is set to end after more than seven months, despite calls from the National Transitional Council for the operation to continue.
► http://www.euronews.net/2011/10/29/taliban-suicide-bomber-attacks-nato-convoy/
Taliban suicide bomber attacks NATO convoy
www.euronews.net
world news - The Taliban on Saturday claimed responsibility for a suicide attack on a NATO convoy in the Afghan capital, Kabul.
► http://english.ruvr.ru/2011/10/29/59571887.html
Taliban claim Kabul NATO convoy attack
The Taliban has claimed responsibility for the attack which targeted a NATO convoy near Kabul on Saturday, killing 13 US soldiers and four Afghans, including a police officer.
I really can't be patience for this thrilling moment, when Libya will become a second Iraq.
Score-settling after Libya's war casts shadow
By KARIN LAUB, Associated Press – 1 day ago
TAWERGHA, Libya (AP) — This town once loyal to Moammar Gadhafi is no more: its 25,000 residents have fled, fearing retribution from vengeful victors from the neighboring city of Misrata who have burned and ransacked homes, crossed out Tawergha's name on road signs and vowed not to let anyone return.
Tawergha, about 20 miles (32 kilometers) south of Misrata, is just one casualty of score-settling following Libya's 8-month civil war that ended with Gadhafi's Oct. 20 capture and death.
The country's interim leaders have appealed for restraint, but seem unable to control revolutionary forces whose recent vigilante acts, including the suspected killing of Gadhafi while in custody, have begun to tarnish their heroic image abroad.
A Western diplomat said Libya's new leaders need to come out more strongly against the culture of revenge, and hold the former fighters accountable for their actions.
Failure to resolve such conflicts and bring regime supporters, including in the badly damaged loyalist towns of Sirte and Bani Walid, into the fold could destabilize Libya and hamper the attempted transition to democracy, the diplomat warned, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitive subject matter.
However, people in Misrata, which was heavily damaged during the war, are in no mood for reconciliation. The port city of 300,000 rose up early against Gadhafi and came under a weekslong siege by Gadhafi fighters, many from Tawergha which served as a staging ground for the loyalists. Nearly 1,300 Misrata residents were killed and thousands wounded in the fighting, city officials say.
Misrata officials have accused the Tawerghans, some of them descendants of African slaves, of particular brutality during the war, including alleged acts of rape and looting. During the siege, Gadhafi fighters sniped at residents from roof tops and shelled the city indiscriminately.
Ibrahim Beitelmal, spokesman for Misrata's military council, said he believes Tawergha should be wiped off the map, but that the final decision is up to the national leadership. "If it was my decision, I would want to see Tawergha gone. It should not exist," said Beitelmal, whose 19-year-old son was killed in the fighting on Tripoli Street.
Misrata fighters captured Tawergha in mid-August, just days before the fall of the capital Tripoli dealt a fatal blow to the Gadhafi regime and forced the dictator into hiding in his hometown of Sirte.
Most of Tawergha's residents fled as the Misrata brigades approached, according to the U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Human Rights Watch said in a report Sunday that more than 100 civilians stayed in their homes, but that the militias quickly forced them out.
For the past two months, Tawergha has been a ghost town, with access roads blocked by earthen mounds and other obstacles. Road signs pointing to Tawergha have been painted over. Misrata brigades have scribbled slogans on the walls of abandoned homes.
"The Tawergha are the rats of Gadhafi," read graffiti on one facade, using Gadhafi's derogatory name for his opponents. The fallen regime had tried to ensure Tawergha's loyalty with promises of jobs and investment, and while some of the homes there were ramshackle, the town also boasted a modern school, medical clinic and rows of new apartment buildings.
A tour of Tawergha on Friday showed widespread vandalism. The school, clinic, small shops and modern apartments had been ransacked, with some rooms burned and contents of closets strewn on the ground.
Human Rights Watch said its team saw militias and individuals from Misrata set 12 homes on fire during a three-day period in early October. On Oct. 25, the team saw trucks drive out of Tawergha with furniture and carpets that had apparently been looted, and that Misrata fighters who claimed to be guarding the town did not intervene.
Two Misrata fighters driving through Tawergha on Friday said the town's residents are no longer welcome. "They will have to find a different place and build houses there," said 22-year-old Naji Akhlaf, standing outside a small grocery that had been largely emptied out, with cartons of juice strewn across the entrance.
"This is the best solution so we can relax and get on with our lives," he said.
Tawerghans also lived in other parts of Libya, including in Misrata where a rundown apartment complex that once housed hundreds of them is to be razed. City officials say the complex is also home to non-Tawerghans and is being torn down because it's unsanitary and unsafe. Tawerghans have fled those apartments and their neighbors said they won't allow them back.
Human Rights Watch, citing interviews with dozens of Tawerghans, said they gave credible accounts of arbitrary arrests and beatings of detainees by Misrata militias, including descriptions of two deaths in custody.
About 10,000 Tawerghans have reached two camps on the outskirts of the eastern city of Benghazi, until recently the seat of the National Transitional Council, and U.N. officials say that number is growing. Thousands more have sought refuge near Tripoli, Tarhouna and in remote areas of the south.
An NTC-funded aid group, LibAid, is providing food and other supplies to some of the displaced, said Mohammed el-Sweii, an official in the group. El-Sweii said guards have been stationed at the camps to prevent acts of revenge.
A similar conflict has been brewing between the town of Zintan in Libya's western mountain range and the nomadic Mushashya tribe which settled nearby after being awarded land by Gadhafi several decades ago.
The Mushashya sided with the dictator in the civil war and fled their homes with retreating Gadhafi forces in the summer. Zintan officials said at the time they would not let the Mushashya return to their homes which, as in Tawergha, had been ransacked and in some cases burned. The U.N. said some 8,700 Mushashya have been reported displaced.
Aid officials believe it's unlikely the Tawergha and Mushashya will be able to return home anytime soon because emotions are still running high.
Tens of thousands who fled Bani Walid and Sirte, the two last Gadhafi bastions to fight the revolutionary forces during the war, likely stand a better chance, once their towns have been rendered habitable again. The two towns are home to the Warfala, Libya's largest tribe with some 1 million members, or one-sixth of the population.
Many former rebels are also Warfala and the sheer size of the tribe would likely protect its members against retribution.
Libya's interim leader, Mustafa Abdul-Jalil, has called for restraint, specifically mentioning the Misrata-Tawergha and Zintan-Mushashya conflicts in a news conference earlier this month. He promised that those guilty of abuses during the war would eventually be punished by the authorities, though it's unclear how quickly a justice system could be set up.
"Taking the lives of people in an illegal manner will set back our revolution," he warned at the time. "The law should be the decisive factor and ... we must believe God will dispense justice in the appropriate manner."
Associated Press writer Rami al-Shaheibi in Misrata, Libya, contributed to this report.
Copyright © 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.
► http://humanrightsinvestigations.org/2011/08/13/tawergha-no-longer-exists-only-misrata/
Tawergha no longer exists, only Misrata
Tawergha has been taken by rebel forces from Misrata, according to a report by Andrew Simmons for Al Jazeera. Further specific evidence has emerged that there is a strong racist element within the rebel forces, including at command level, and it is the stated intention of these forces to ethnically cleanse areas they capture of their dark-skinned inhabitants.
► http://warincontext.org/2011/10/30/the-murder-brigades-of-misrata/
The murder brigades of Misrata
In this Friday, Oct. 28, 2011 photo, a road sign pointing to the town of Tawerg>a, a former bastion of support for Moammar Gadhafi, has been painted over with "Misrata", in Arabic, as part of score-settling following Libya’s eight-month civil war.
► http://libyancivilwar.blogspot.com/2011/09/fall-and-purge-of-tawergha.html
The Libyan Civil War: Critical Views: The Fall and Purge of Tawergha
libyancivilwar.blogspot.com
All very regrettable, inasmuch as any of it is true. And all the undeniable fault of the poisonous Gadaffi regime which is now dead. And so now Libya can go on to heal its wounds, deep though they are.
He can read my dislike of the new Libyan regime. That's it. That is, I am waiting for times when at last they will see that killing Gaddafi would make a useless regret for them. We have already seen how sharp the teeth of the UN secretary general in chewing the data that was submitted by the human rights observers. If then - after all the media do not preach it anymore because of some reasons - Can't you see there's a time when the mainstream media have been silent then it will be followed by others? Hehehe ---- and the Gaddafi's killing is not followed up with clear sanctions to the NTC as the charge of transitional government in Libya, then I would not be ashamed of looking foolish by asking, "What is the benefit of the UN security council?" O yes. When they have not answered all the questions of the situation happened, not yet, now they speak out again in Syria, "Hello Syria, please ..." Ah, it's not as sharp as I thought.
Thus, it's fair enough if --maybe-- Asad will say, "You better shut up and listen to us! What is in hello? I don't have a "Hello" for you. Go away from us! Don't try to disturb us. You better tell NATO to deal with the Taliban, before many versions of Taliban spring up across the Arabian peninsula. Do you know why? Because we are a node in the region. If you play around with it, be prepared with the shocks in Middle East region!"
In a joking, I asked my partner, "Dahling, is there a barter system in the law?"
"Why do you think so?"
"Hehe,... nothing, just ignore this agreement. You know that, I always like to ramble...ehehehe" I looked at him a moment. (I just wanted to know. Could I get his subjective support just because I had made his favorite salmon cakes and grilled chicken last night?)
"What deal?" he asked, rather responding to my joke. (Did he still remember with my salmon cake last night? I still remembered its recipes.
... Preheat a grill to medium high. In a large bowl, whisk 2 tablespoons olive oil, the juice of 1 lemon, the garlic, shallots, cumin, cayenne, 1 teaspoon salt and half of the cilantro. Add the salmon and turn to coat. Let marinate 15 minutes at room temperature. Meanwhile, toss the hearts of palm and tomatoes in a bowl with the remaining 2 tablespoons olive oil, the juice of the remaining lemon, and the rest of the cilantro. Season with salt. Brush the grill with vegetable oil. Grill the salmon, round side down, until marked on the bottom, about 4 minutes. Turn and continue grilling until marked on the other side and cooked through, 2 to 3 more minutes. Divide the salmon among plates. Serve with the greens and hearts of palm salad. Drizzle the juices from the salad over the greens. Yups! that's the Cuban style Grilled Salmon! ... 
)"No follow up the investigation into Gaddafi's death (which means it claims the NTC's responsibility, cause I find it odd with this situation: could you be a cop for yourself as a thief? And then you would give a statement as a prosecutor to charge you as a convict?) with revocation of the indictment to all his family and followers. So, Gaddafi's death was not in vain, though they treated him as a waste, ... well what could be done? It had happened. Just relax. Jesus also died in the crucifixion and torture" ( The recipe above couldn't be processed because there were no ingredients. Here's the ingredients : 1/4 cup extra-virgin olive oil, Juice of 2 lemons or limes, 2 large cloves garlic, minced, 2 large shallots, minced, 1 teaspoon ground cumin, 1 teaspoon cayenne pepper, Kosher salt, 1/2 bunch cilantro, roughly chopped, 4 6-ounce center-cut salmon fillets, skin removed, 1 14-ounce can hearts of palm, cut into 1-inch pieces, 1 pint cherry or grape tomatoes, halved, Vegetable oil, for brushing, 2 cups mixed salad greens. Total Time: 30 min; Prep: 8 min; Inactive: 15 min; Cook: 7 min; Yield: Serves 4; Level: Easy)
"Hahahaaa ..
.."no mercy at all. He just laughed aloud as he pinched my cheek. No other barter for his pinch. "Uuh ooh honey, my honeydew,... I've never found someone with the mindset as practical as you, ahahaaa...""....
"
